I have been asked before who is my favorite U.S. President and after some time I realized the answer comes from admiration, and some intimidation. It has to be Theodore "Teddy" Roosevelt—though he preferred to be called "TR" or "Colonel." Rather than gush like a fan girl at his bare-knuckled politics and obvious (and endearing) caffeine addiction, I’ll take this post to instead reflect on one of his most controversial decisions that has yet, and may never, prove courageous or fool-hardy. In 1904, President Roosevelt declared his next four years would be his last term as President; an unexpected promise given he had only been in office 3.5 years, following the assassination of President McKinley. In 1908, TR handpicked his Secretary of War and good friend, William Howard Taft, as the next President. And in 1912, TR sacrificed the friendship, sacrificed his membership in the Republican Party, condemned Taft’s administration, and ran for president once again.
To understand how this happened, one first needs to understand TR was never meant to be president in the first place. He was a wildly popular war hero who became a wildly popular New York governor. As Governor, TR fought political corruption and taxed big businesses. In response, these para-political forces and party bosses aligned and “promoted” TR to U.S. Vice-President, under McKinley. There, TR would have no real power. In the biggest backfire of the decade, McKinley was assassinated months later and TR became the most politically powerful president since Ol' Abe Lincoln.
About eight years later, the 50-year-old TR decides that being President isn’t interesting enough anymore and doesn’t run for re-election (despite still being wildly popular). For the previous four years, TR had groomed and polished his largely apolitical, though scholarly (read: nerdy), friend, William Taft. Taft was a soft speaker and rather big, though had a good sense of humor about it—often claiming that he was such a good gentleman that he could give his seat on the bus to three women. He was judicial and moderate. Really, he was an Anti-Roosevelt, which TR liked.
But then during Taft’s administration, Taft reveals himself to be considerably more conservative than the progressive Roosevelt. Unlike TR, Taft never demonized big businesses or monopolies. Taft lowered tariffs (frustrating American manufactures) though did not abolish them (frustrating American consumers). Taft fought against judiciary reform, himself believing judges appointed would be more powerful than judges elected. And most contrary to TR, Taft did not use to the executive office to protect labor unions, women, children, the environment or southern blacks. The southern blacks in particular were faced with voter restrictions such as the Grandfather Clause—a ridiculously illegal/racist law that basically said you could only vote if your grandfather ever had the chance to vote before 1867. This state law obviously took advantage in the fact that few slaves in the 1850s were politically active. All these issues combined, though not one really stood out, to enrage Roosevelt into challenging the incumbent president.
In what was one of the worst primary elections in the 20th century, Roosevelt lambasted his former friend for “flipping” on key populist ideals and supporting big business. Taft claimed TR was an egotist and rabble-rouser. TR called Taft a “fat head.” Taft started crying. And then to make things a little bit crazier, Senator Robert M. LaFollette of Wisconsin, started campaigning and won two of the first four primaries—also LaFollette kind of looked like David Lynch.
Eventually, the core Republicans decided President Taft was most conservative and so voted him to be the Republican nominee for 1912. Enraged to a Hulk-like magnitude, TR joined the Progressive Party, waving off concerns about his health, declaring, “I’m as fit as a bull moose!” Reportedly, he then ran off stage and tackled a bull moose to prove it—thus creating the party’s new name.
"Sorry guys, turns out it was actually a bull elephant."
From the farthest left, socialist Eugene Debs got into the national campaign and said Republicans, Democrats and Progressives received too much money from trusts and companies to be honest with the American voters. Rightfully, Debs was called a madman and his views died with his political career.
Like any good spectacle, the best was saved for the end wherein everybody pulled an “October Surprise”—not to be confused with the sexual act. Roosevelt was shot by a would-be assassin moments before giving a speech. The .38 caliber bullet actually went through Roosevelt’s eyeglass case and his 50-page speech before entering his chest and finally giving up. Roosevelt, with the bullet lodged in his chest, gave the prepared speech noting the, still possibly successful, assassination attempt by saying no single bullet can take him down. Roosevelt, suspecting that the surgeons actually killed bullet-wounded presidents McKinely and Garfield, refused bullet-removal procedures and indeed died with it in his chest, though not because of it, seven years later.
Not to be outdone by ridiculous (bad?) luck, President Taft’s Vice-President James Sherman dropped dead two weeks later—seven days before the general election.
Both hurt by each other’s disregard for their previous friendship, Taft and TR focused their attacks on one another, nearly forgetting that the Democrat challenger could also be elected. And was. This was Woodrow Wilson, the originator of the cliché, New England, academic, Democrat politician. Wilson won the popular vote with 41.8%. Roosevelt came in second, Taft in third. And even crazy Eugene "No Money Bags for Me" Debs got nearly a million votes—marking the last time in U.S. history that four separate candidates received at least 5% of the popular vote.
Not to overly entertain the hypothetical, I do wonder the difference TR could have made in those next four years. Beyond the control of any American, World War I still would have started in Europe in the summer of 1914—which was also one of the worst blockbuster summers in movie history. Wilson, the real president at the time, did not want America to get involved for any number of reasons, but mostly because he felt it would be a distraction for the problems he wanted to fix domestically. Wilson himself said, “It would be a great tragedy if my presidency was consumed by international affairs.” Even after German U-boats blew up the Lusitania in 1915, Wilson kept America out of ‘the European war.’ Not until after his re-election, the sinking of seven more U.S. merchant ships and the Zimmerman telegram (Germany asking Mexico to invade America) did Wilson called for war—which Congress declared on April 6th, 1917.
It’s hard to imagine Theodore Roosevelt, given his eagerness for war with Spain in 1897, Big Stick policy and Colombian Revolution-instigation, would have waited so long. Indeed, TR was a big proponent of The Preparedness Movement in 1915, which, among other political changes, called for every 18-year-old American male to spend 6-months training for military service. Socially, it was described as “a real melting pot, under which the fire is hot enough to fuse the elements into one common mass of Americanism.” While the 6-month requirement is considerably more generous to a teenage boy’s duties of video game and Pop-Tart marathons than Germany’s then-two-year-requirement or modern Israel’s three-year-requirement, the notion was shot down as a violations of Americans' freedom to be lazy.
And you bet your McDonald's enlarged ass that Roosevelt walked the walk. Of his four sons, three honorably served in BOTH world wars, the lone exception being Quentin--who crashed his plane serving during WWI...probably even deliberately, because Roosevelts' only die when the world becomes too boring for them. There actually is a long history of suicide in that family. Anyway!
Had Roosevelt been president, America would have gone to war by 1915—when Germany was still convinced they could win. Thousands and thousands of more Americans would have been killed, including TR if he had tried to lead the American forces (once again) on horseback like some hyperactive King Théoden. And this is only barely hypothetical, as TR actually did petition President Wilson to let him round up a regiment of volunteers and go overseas. Wilson, afraid of TR becoming a war hero (once again) and running for president (once again) ordered TR to stand down. Roosevelt listened and Germany wasn't invaded until 1944.
Germany still would have lost WWI and America, like Britain and France, would have lost a devastating amount of young men (France lost over 4% of it’s total population). Perhaps then, though, America would have cared more about stopping world wars and actively engaged in any one of the numerous, international “leagues” being proposed by Taft, Wilson and several European counterparts. A league of nations with teeth, a league people wanted to have power. A league that may have economically built up Germany’s economy, rather than smashing it, and a league that could have brought about more—and this is the only goal—world peace.
And so is the tragedy of two friends fighting, not as good vs. evil (take note Mr. James freaking Cameron) but as one good vs. another good. Watch for it next time.